Wednesday, March 26, 2008

March Thus Far

March has been pretty crazy for me poker-wise. I have made more money on the tables and lost more money on the tables than any month before.

I have played 3 levels this month 25NL, 50Nl, and 100Nl.

25NL I have made about $850 (+34 buyins)

50NL I have made about $600 (+12 buyins) (but this sucks as I was up $1600)

100NL I have lost about $800 (-8 buyins)

Now obviously, I have a slight problem playing at the 100NL level. That being said, I was cold decked quite a few times playing there thus the sample is only 2500 hands. And considering a 2 buyin pot which I got my money in ahead atleast twice, would take this -$800 loss and make it a -$200 loss. So that is something to take a bit of solace in.

Anyways, in April I am taking a week long holiday in Tenerife with some friends and the fiancee. I am looking forward to it and I think a week in the sun will be great. So because of that week off, I am considering April already begun with the last week of March making up for that lost week. I have thought about it and I have come up with a type of system I am going to try this weekend.

I am going to play 25NL until I have made $750. If I run cold, then 25NL will be the only level I play. If I can make $750, I will then jump to 50NL. If I run cold at 50NL, ie lose more than $400, I drop back down and recover. If I am able to make $750 at 50NL, I take a shot at 100NL. If I lose more than $400 at 100NL, I drop down and so on.

This may sound too concrete, but to be honest that is what I want. I dont want to play higher to chase losses or because I think I can play well. I want my results to dictate where I play. So 25NL is up first, I hope to hit $750 in about 15 days. I started last night and played for an hour. I was up to $70 but then had KK into AA and QQ into KK. So I only ended up $16. Nothing obviously, but better than losing. Tonight is another night.

Heres to hoping.

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Poker, booooooooooooooooo


I made a bunch of money in the last month.

I cashed out $1K, left $1.5K in the account. Got it up to $2.8K doing well, crushing 50NL for like 4ptbb over 40K hands. Doing super well. Then the last 2 sessions have been cruel. Really cruel. Like 'wow, what the hell is going on, how did you stay in the hand with that and hit what you needed and yet improve my hand but but not enough to win', yes, that kind of bad.

This graph is an Ev graph. The red line represents where I should be in terms of making good decisions and getting my money in ahead. As you can see that is $-30 or so. Obviously not good, but ok, $30 I can eat. The blue line represents all-in winnings, but the green line represents what has actually happened, yes, $-650. So I should be, according to math and what not, be down $30, but instead I am down $650. Yes, this has been a fun ride of variance.

I am going back down to 25NL until I get back to $2800. That is a promise.